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Securing General Aviation 通用航空安保(20)

时间:2011-11-29 14:04来源:蓝天飞行翻译 作者:航空

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However, the chemical and biological threat using GA aircraft may not be as ominous as some fear. First, many chemical agents must be released in rather high concentrations.  Some, such as cyanides, may only be effective as a chemical weapon if dispensed in an enclosed area therefore greatly limiting the threat of aerial dispersion.40   While other chemical agents –  such as caustic mustard agents and military nerve agents – may be effective in open air settings, the limited payload of small GA aircraft may limit the scope of an aerial attack using such agents.  Second, aerial dispersion of either chemical or biological agents over populated areas or large congregations of individuals is likely to be easily detected.  If a suspected aerial dispersion of a chemical or biological agent is promptly reported, a timely public health response could significantly limit the impact of such an attack.  In general, experts believe that if any chemical or biological attack were to occur – whether using a small airplane or some other method to attack –  it would likely be on a small scale physically, but may have a large psychological impact on the population.41
More specifically, in terms of using small GA aircraft to carry out such an attack, the greatest threat appears to be to large, open-air assemblies such as major outdoor sporting events and concerts.  In fact, one of several homeland security planning scenarios –  developed by the White House Homeland Security Council in partnership with the DHS –  describes the potential effects of an adversary using a light aircraft to spray a chemical blister agent into a packed college football stadium holding 100,000 people.42  The scenario’s predicted impact includes 70,000 hospitalizations due to exposure, including many permanent impairments and 150 deaths, but notes that expedient decontamination could reduce injuries by one half. This would likely be a worst case scenario in which an extremely large assembly of people could potentially be victimized.  Even in densely populated areas, this degree of impact from an aerial attack not specifically targeting a large outdoor assembly is unlikely because it might be expected that many individuals would be indoors or
 
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